2012-03-14 13:42:09second opinion??
Sarah Green

A poor translation, but I think it's saying we're lucky to have AGW because it offsets dangerous global cooling; except where it says humans have caused cooling since 1950. So, does it support or reject AGW?

What Is On About The Climate Change? A Decreasing In Global Irradiation Contra An Augmentation Of The Green House Forcing?

The reality of the decreasing global irradiation of more than 0.5 Watt per m(2) annually since the early 50s at the one hand and the augmenting of the green house forcing at the other hand contradict the existing models and the forcasts on global warming. The question regarding the cause of the remarkable decrease of the global irradiation still has to be answered! Two hypothetical attempts for an explanation - additional reflexion and/or absorption of solar irradiation in the atmosphere - are in discussion. The causes have to be sought in the atmosphere of the earth and by the human activities since the 50s. Concluding may be stated that at present there are two opposite climatological processes on the way. The decreasing global irradiation contra the augmentation of the green house forcing. Still it has to be remembered that an increasing green house forcing depends fundamentaly on the amount of the global irradiation. An increasing green house forcing can surely only compensate for a restricted time scale a decrease of the global irradiation. It seems a very alarming vision that the human activities mainly since the 50s cause a global cooling up from the time space when the green house forcing can not compensate the decrease of the global irradiation anymore.  In the future modelers and forecasters of climate change must consequently attache more importance to the reality of the wide-spread decreases of the global irradiation over the whole atmosphere presumable caused by aerosols and clouds in releation to the augmenting climate forcings caused by increasing concentrations of green house gases in the atmosphere. 

2012-03-14 17:07:00
Ari Jokimäki


I'd say it's pretty close to implicit minimization, because it seems to suggest that there will be cooling in the future.