2011-02-17 10:03:34Nature - two reports on GHGs and flooding
Paul D


 These two reports in Nature have popped up in a BBC news report:

Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000



Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes


(UPDATE, links now work, must have been a browser problem)



I think Hambledon cricket ground and the 'Bat and Ball' pub (the village is mentioned in the BBC piece) are OK, they are on high ground.

2011-02-17 10:52:20AP Article
John Hartz
John Hartz

Scientists connect global warming to extreme rain

February 16, 2011 1:03 PM EST

WASHINGTON (AP) — Two studies in the journal Nature link global warming to extreme rainstorms and snowfalls and find these weather events are getting substantially worse.
One study found that the strongest precipitation events were 7 percent wetter in the 1990s than they were in the 1950s. The other looked at costly flooding in England and Wales in the fall of 2000 and found that global warming more than doubled the likelihood of that flood occurring. Both studies used computer modeling.
Myles Allen of the University of Oxford , who co-authored the British research, said it shows global warming isn't a victimless problem.
2011-02-17 12:23:35IPS Article
John Hartz
John Hartz

Link Confirmed Between Warming and Heavy Storms

Stephen Leahy

UXBRIDGE, Canada, 16 Feb (IPS) - Human-induced heating of the planet has already made rainfall more intense, leading to more severe floods, researchers announced Wednesday.

Two new studies document significant impacts with just a fraction of the heating yet to come from the burning of fossil fuels. Fortunately, another new report shows the world can end its addiction to climate-wrecking fossil-fuel energy by 2050.

"Warmer air contains more moisture and leads to more extreme precipitation," said Francis Zwiers of the University of Victoria.


2011-02-17 16:07:58
Peter Miesler

What's spooky is that they're talking about the weather up to a decade ago.

I hope they follow up with a study examining the past decade.

2011-02-17 17:24:01Australian media
James Wight

We should try to get this news into the Australian mainstream media, to tie in with the recent floods. John, maybe Skeptical Science could do a press release about it?
2011-02-17 20:32:21
Paul D

I fixed the links in my initial post.
2011-02-18 03:36:27
Paul D


Just listening to a BBC Radio4 programme about these two reports.

The programme is Material World. 


(Again the licensing issues outside the UK probably apply)

2011-02-18 04:09:34
Paul D


Gavin at Realclimate has just posted: