2011-09-26 21:38:08The weather is all effed up, again
Daniel Bailey
Daniel Bailey
yooper49855@hotmail...
97.83.150.37

Where the h*ll is the west-to-east zonal flow?  Been a week of retrograde winds at a time of the year the prevailing westerlies should have brought us nippy nights.  Weird stuff.

I'm archiving a screenshot here for future reference:

Freaky

2011-09-26 21:38:57
Daniel Bailey
Daniel Bailey
yooper49855@hotmail...
97.83.150.37

But you can clearly see the effects of Hadley Cell expansion, in that a system such as this can not only make it's way this far into the heartland of the continent, but persist in spite of steering jets.

2011-09-26 22:21:33Almost October
muoncounter
Dan Friedman
dfriedman3@comcast...
216.227.243.189

Temps forecast in the mid 90s this week.  Yeah, that's 'Norman normal' for this time of year.

2011-09-26 22:28:50
Paul D

chillcast@googlemail...
82.18.130.183

It's hot here as well.

2011-09-27 02:22:50
Albatross
Julian Brimelow
stomatalaperture@gmail...
199.126.232.206

Well, this does not really mean much of course, but in central Alberta yesterday we hit 32 C, that smashed the previous record (hard to believe it will be October on Saturday), previous record highs have occurred earlier in September!  Over the outhern part of the province it was near +35 C. The leaves have been slow to change colour this year.  Europe also in for some unusuallyw arm wx this week...But it is not above average everywhere of course:

But the upstream ridge is "related" to the cold low over the Great Lakes.

2011-09-27 02:29:21
Anne-Marie Blackburn
Anne-Marie Blackburn
bioluminescence@hotmail.co...
212.139.81.227

Aye, they're forecasting up to 28C in London at the weekend - not sure what the record is for early October but this has got to be up there.

Global weirding in full flow.

2011-09-27 03:18:47
Daniel Bailey
Daniel Bailey
yooper49855@hotmail...
97.83.150.37

Our color change started 3 weeks behind schedule, with the color maximum running about 2 weeks behind "normal".

Peak color should occur in about 7-10 days (based on current conditions), depending upon achieving traditional nighttime lows.  Or not.

Meh.

 

But the tight rotation in the graphic I link at top is flat-out unnatural for this part of the world (at any time of the year).  Persisting for days now, throwing winds 180 degrees to the opposite of what they should be.

Freaky.

2011-09-27 03:57:13Nor'easter
muoncounter
Dan Friedman
dfriedman3@comcast...
216.227.243.189

DB, You've got yourself a warm weather nor'easter.  Must be due to blocking.  Guess the snows of November won't be coming early this year.

2011-09-27 04:39:39
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.43.252

Dammit! You guys are stealing all our heat! Just look at Alby's graphic - cold down here in NZ at the moment. 

2011-09-27 05:07:00
Steve Brown

brownsg@gmail...
80.177.115.133

It's apparantly set to be the warmest October start in the UK since 1985.

2011-09-27 08:20:21
grypo

gryposaurus@gmail...
173.69.6.13

There's also another year of outrageous monsoon rains in India - Pakistan this year.  I know last year this was caused by a blocking phenomon.  Has there been any news on what is causing it this year?

2011-09-27 10:10:49Blocking dummies
muoncounter
Dan Friedman
dfriedman3@comcast...
76.30.158.238

There needs to be a post on blocking - its the cause of just about everything that isn't caused by el Nino. I've asked Eric (the skeptic) and Norman both (who love to throw some blocking around) the question - what causes blocking? to no avail. 

2011-09-27 15:49:25
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.54.214

Funny, because I was reading a modeling paper (a few months back) which indicated blocking events should become less frequent with global warming. I agree with Muon, a post on this at some stage would be nice.

2011-09-28 00:20:33
Paul D

chillcast@googlemail...
82.18.130.183

 

http://www.woodlandtrust.presscentre.com/News-Releases/Could-2011-have-two-autumns-Trust-calls-for-public-recordings-8d4.aspx

Could 2011 have two autumns? Trust calls for public recordings...

The Woodland Trust is calling on the public to help them track the early signs of autumn to see if it is affected by the unusual seasonal events that have taken place so far in 2011. With spring 2011 possibly being the earliest on record, one school of thought suggests that an early spring will be followed by an early autumn since leaves may have a “shelf-life”. Another believes that trees will remain growing as long as temperatures remain high and water is available.

2011-09-29 01:55:19
Paul D

chillcast@googlemail...
82.18.130.183

It is absolutely mad here. My thermometer says 21 degrees C, in the shade in a cool room (good insulation keeps the heat out as well as keeping it in). Must be 25 plus degrees outside in direct sunlight.

It's a few days from October!??!

Everyone is wearing summer clothing. I was starting to put the layers on, now i'm taklng them off again.

2011-09-29 14:26:18is it global or local
jyyh
Otto Lehikoinen
otanle@hotmail...
85.78.83.220

forecast 17C for tomorrow for my hometown in S Finland, less than in Oct-2005 (if I remember the year correctly) but still a bit much for the season.

BTW, the definition of 'Global' in 'Global Warming' should exclude the stratosphere, imho.

2011-09-29 15:07:25
logicman

logicman_alf@yahoo.co...
86.180.36.166

In the UK we are having what we call an Indian Summer - that is, an extended duration of summery heat.  They used to be extremely rare.

We also don't often get real blizzards and deep snow in Kent.  They used to be very frequent before the late 1960s.

Current indoor temperature at 6am = 23oC.

But Laird Munchkin says glabal worming is a hoax, and who am I, a worthless serf, to argue with such a noble personage?

2011-09-29 22:44:59
Paul D

chillcast@googlemail...
82.18.130.183

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2042838/UK-Indian-summer-Mini-heat-wave-sees-plants-blossom-2nd-time-year.html

Some comments:

 

It does make you wonder if the planet has slightly tilted making the seasons a bit out of kilter.

dinah, London

 

 

"It is expected to be the hottest September 29 since 1895">>>>>I know! they had Global Warming in 1895 even before the Industrial revolution. But how does the hockey stick temperature graph look now? does it have a handle shaped like the blade? \_____/

Ordell Robbie, Compton USA

 

 

Global warming is just another money scheme, so they charge you more money as everything you buy sell what ever 'must be green'. We will be wondering where globing warming is in about a months time when it is freezing and snowing like joke. Anybody remember the snow havoc for the past two years. Global warming my a**!

Kay, London

 



2011-09-30 00:45:29
logicman

logicman_alf@yahoo.co...
86.180.36.166

From a conversation today on Britain's Indian Summer.

 

me: "Baffin Bay is still completely open."

other person: "I don't know it, I'm not from around here."

 

I kid you not!

2011-09-30 01:10:51
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
84.151.44.222

Why should you expect someone in Britain to know about Canada?

2011-09-30 02:08:44
logicman

logicman_alf@yahoo.co...
86.180.36.166

"Why should you expect someone in Britain to know about Canada?"

That figures!

I suppose, now that the colonists have stopped paying their taxes, we must be short of funds for basic education.

2011-09-30 02:32:34
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
84.151.44.222

Seriously, for someone living in London, Hong Kong could be of greater significance.

2011-09-30 04:35:45
Same Ordinary Fool

chicagoriverturning@gmail...
184.98.2.149

For 2011 Spencer and Braswell have omitted their average-of-recent-years trace from UAH's AMSU Channel 5 temps.  Has there been an explanation, or do we just assume that they want to make it harder for people to keep score?

But it must be colder somewhere.  It's still possible to tell that 2011 is globally getting colder relative to recent years (so it looks like a La Nina).  If you've been watching the white box moving down thru the spaghetti, to Sep26 ("Updated on 9/28/2011").  Or if you follow the 2011 trace thru the spaghetti, sans same-color 2003.

Its still warm in Phoenix.  102F forecast today, 96F average.  Friday forecast 8F above average.

2011-09-30 09:24:25Typical UP weather: the rain is sideways
Daniel Bailey
Daniel Bailey
yooper49855@hotmail...
97.83.150.37

Wind just blew some siding from someone's house sailing threw the air right down the middle of the street.

Heavy Rain Heavy Rain   Feels Like: 54°
Wind Chill: 54°   Ceiling: 800
Heat Index: 54°   Visibility: 1.5mi
Dew Point: 52°   Wind: 38mph
Humidity: 94%   Direction: 10° (N)
Pressure: 29.4"   Gusts: 48mph
Report Text: KSAW 292305Z 01033G42KT 1 1/2SM +RA BKN008 OVC012 12/11 A2940

Winds


High Wind Warning
MIZ005-006-300400-
/O.CON.KMQT.HW.W.0003.110929T2100Z-110930T1200Z/
MARQUETTE-ALGER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GWINN...MARQUETTE...GRAND MARAIS...
MUNISING
322 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

* NORTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR
THE LAKE SUPERIOR SHORE FROM MARQUETTE TO GRAND MARAIS.

* INLAND FROM LAKE SUPERIOR...EXPECT NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING.

IMPACTS...

* THE HIGH WINDS COULD DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER LINES.

* POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

* A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40
MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

* FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO REPORT WIND DAMAGE TO THE
NWS MARQUETTE...VISIT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MQT

 


No mention of flying vinyl siding though.

 

2011-09-30 10:30:43
logicman

logicman_alf@yahoo.co...
86.180.36.166

The four two seasons:

Spring, summer, autumn spring, winter summer.

 

The flowers that bloom in thespring autumn,
Tra la,
Breathe promise of merry sunshine —
As we merrily dance and we sing,
Tra la,
We welcome the hope that they bring,
Tra la,
Of a summer winter of roses and wine,
Of a summer winter of roses and wine.
And that's what we mean when we say that a thing
Is welcome as flowers that bloom in the spring autumn.
Tra la la la la,
Tra la la la la,
The flowers that bloom in the spring autumn.

Nanki-Poo, The Mikado, Gilbert & Sullivan.

2011-09-30 12:29:01
Alex C

coultera@umich...
67.194.28.202

We've been having rain in Ann Arbor for what seems to be 2 weeks straight now.  It's getting very annoying.