|2011-07-16 06:24:43||Predicting Climate 'Tipping Points' Within Reach, Study Suggests -- SolveClimate News|
Predicting Climate 'Tipping Points' Within Reach, Study Suggests
After several years of identifying possible climatic "tipping points" such as the meltdown of the West Antarctic ice sheet and widespread tree deaths in the Canadian boreal forest, scientists are beginning to take on another formidable challenge: predicting these potential threats before they occur.
While the mathematical concepts for understanding tipping point signals have been around for decades, they are just beginning to be incorporated into global climate data and models, according to new research published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
The paper's author, Timothy Lenton, said his study suggests that early warning of some impending tipping points may already be possible.
"[This is the] first time a synthesis of both the basic theory and the latest results on the early warning signals has been brought together," Lenton said in an interview with SolveClimate News. "I think it's the first time anyone's made the link to how you might translate them to an early warning system."
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