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2011-04-01 10:48:31 | Abstract from Anthony Watts' upcoming paper | |
John Cook john@skepticalscience... 124.185.238.238 |
This was posted on The Blackboard: | |
2011-04-01 10:56:58 | ||
nealjking nealjking@gmail... 84.151.31.101 |
If this is published, we'll have to see how it compares with the BEST results. I'm sure there will be a way to evaluate them over the Watts-only set. Then we can watch them fight it out over who has the better algorithm. I guess we get to ask Watts for his data dump and analysis software. It better be good. | |
2011-04-01 11:24:40 | ||
grypo gryposaurus@gmail... 173.69.56.151 |
Did BEST say anything about t-max and t-min of daily temperature? So Anthony's trying to say that over the last century there is no "fingerprint" of greenhouse gas warming in his continental US temperature record. | |
2011-04-01 11:28:45 | Maybe we need to start pressuring Watts to release his surface station data | |
John Cook john@skepticalscience... 124.185.238.238 |
He keeps it secret, refuses to release it, he only gave it to Muller because he thought Muller could be trusted to give a good result. Bet he's regretting that decision now. But the hypocrisy of Watts' lack of transparency is breathtaking. | |
2011-04-01 14:14:55 | Hmm | |
Daniel Bailey Daniel Bailey yooper49855@hotmail... 97.83.150.37 |
Do we know what entity is lined up to publish this? A reputable journal (hopefully)? Or another rag pub? | |
2011-04-01 17:06:35 | ||
Riccardo riccardoreitano@tiscali... 93.147.82.78 |
Then, apart from the diurnal temperature range, even the "Chief of Staff" of surfacestation.org says that station siting is irrelevant as far as the average temperature trend is concerned. Do we have any hope that discussions on the surface temperature datasets is over? | |
2011-04-01 18:22:04 | ||
nealjking nealjking@gmail... 91.33.123.131 |
- On pressuring Watts to release data: We can remind hiim now, but it's not unreasonable for a researcher to keep a lid on the data until he's had at least one publication on it. - I think Pielke is involved, so he'll want a reputable journal. | |
2011-04-01 18:22:05 | ||
nealjking nealjking@gmail... 91.33.123.131 |
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2011-04-01 19:40:29 | ||
MarkR Mark Richardson m.t.richardson2@gmail... 83.150.146.79 |
Century scale could be the weasel word.
I expect Watts to cherry pick starting dates, analysis techniques and statistics to get the result he wants. Maybe it will be a valid result, but we'll have to wait for the data to come out. I expect Tamino will eventually flatten him :P | |
2011-04-01 20:14:54 | April Fools Day post | |
James Wight jameswight@southernphone.com... 112.213.158.190 |
John, are you still planning that April Fool post about air conditioners causing glacier melt? You have less than four hours! | |
2011-04-01 21:01:21 | Nope, April Fool cancelled | |
John Cook john@skepticalscience... 124.185.238.238 |
I was never sure if I was gonna have time to do it and it was fairly low on the priority list. I also described the concept to Dana on skype and his reaction was 'meh'. Maybe it was funnier on my head. :-) |