2011-01-07 07:07:18Set up a bet over at P Gosselin's No Tricks Zone blog
Rob Honeycutt

robhon@mac...
98.207.62.223

 

Wanted to let folks know that poked a hornets nest and got a little activity.  I posted on P Gosselin's blog that when I try to bet deniers that the next decade will warm no one takes me up on the bet.  But Pierre took me up.  

I've put in $5,000 US to be paid out in 2020 saying that the decade of 2011 to 2020 will be warmer than the previous decade.  We're basing it on combined UAH and RSS lower trop global temps.  The proceeds will be paid to charity.

So far they've only mustered $300 lousy bucks.  Dana has put in an additional $100 on my side.  If you're interested take a trip over there and get in on it.   

 

http://notrickszone.com/2011/01/05/warmist-daringly-bet-5000-that-2011-2020-decade-will-be-even-warmer/#comment-8775 

2011-01-07 08:10:57
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.93.221.174
Rob, Yep, put me down for the same. Boy, those dummies never learn.
2011-01-07 08:22:25
Rob Honeycutt

robhon@mac...
98.207.62.223
Rob, Head over there at leave a post for Pierre.  He'll put you in.
2011-01-07 10:17:49
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.93.210.18
Already done.
2011-01-08 09:09:01
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
91.33.99.72

I put down $100 at the site.

 

 

2011-01-08 10:18:38got you covered, Rob
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
38.223.231.252
I think even without Rob H's $5k, Rob P, neal, and I have the 'skeptic' bets covered!  They're having big problems putting their money where their mouths are.  There are a decent number of contributions, but most are just ten bucks.
2011-01-08 18:12:53
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
91.33.101.190

At some point, it would be worthwhile to make that poiint.

Likewise, when Lindzen was challenged to a similar bet, he wanted a substantial advantage (don't remember the odds). Kind of makes it look like he doesn't really have that much confidence in his projection, don't it?

2011-01-09 05:22:5550 to 1
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
69.230.110.116

I believe Lindzen wanted 50 to 1 advantage, neal.  Or maybe it was 20 to 1 - something ridiculous.

The blogger (Pierre) actually has noted that the 'skeptics' are being grossly outwagered by more than 10 to 1 so far.  They are really not looking good.

2011-01-09 15:25:14
Rob Honeycutt

robhon@mac...
98.207.62.223

I'm pretty sure Lindzen was asking for 50-1 odds.

I'm actually having a bunch of fun posting over there.  Pierre Gosselin is quite polite and encouraging.  This little entourage is fairly predictable but not overboard like the cranks at JoNova's site.

They did have one guy put up $1000 that hasn't gone on the list yet.  They might make it to the $5k eventually.

Gosselin did a bet a few years ago that he won.  The bet was that the average of the 5 years following 2005 would be warmer than 2005.  Not a good bet when 2005 was a record setting year.  I'm pretty confident that the next decade will be warmer than this past.  But, I know what they're going to say... "It's natural."