2012-01-04 05:01:53A Big Picture Look at Global Warming
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
64.129.227.4

Looks like somehow my discussion thread on this post got deleted, so here's a new one.  I think I've incorporated all comments, except somehow the last frame of my snow cover GIF is missing.  Not happy with my new GIF creator - GIFBuilder Carbon doesn't seem to have a version that works on my MacBook.  I might try a few others tonight.

A Big Picture Look at Global Warming

2012-01-04 07:24:33
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.98.161

Well done!

2012-01-04 07:59:46
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.93.136.128

Send to last sentence - "observtional"

Interesting looking at the graph from Church (2011), global heat declines after every major El Nino episode/s. Must be a lot of heat lost to space.

2012-01-04 08:01:14
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.93.136.128

Here's the thumb from before.

2012-01-04 10:45:59
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.98.161

Why can't I give a thumb up from the edit function? 

2012-01-04 13:04:59
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
71.137.110.252

Because that's the rules, John!

Got the final frame to show up correctly in the snow cover GIF.  This should be good to publish tomorrow.

2012-01-04 14:00:50
Tom Curtis

t.r.curtis@gmail...
112.213.145.36

It looks good, but as before I suggest we find out more about Dr Jones theory as expounded at Eli's, the AGU and in the forthcoming paper before publishing.  We should probably hold of a few days to see the outcome of Kevin C's analysis of FR2011.  Both issues are central to your post, particularly FR2011 and it worthwhile waiting to see if either analysis requires modification of your claims rather than publishing in haste.  

2012-01-04 15:29:29
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
71.137.110.252

Those are both subjects we've covered before though.  I made the step change discussion ENSO-specific to avoid a potential contradiction based on Jones' research (though I'm rather skeptical about it).  As for FR11, I'll probably tweak the post to make it less of a central point (i.e. add a discussion about Kaufmann and aerosols and short-term noise vs. long-term signal too).  It will be interesting to see what Kevin comes up with, but I imagine it will be quite a while before he's got something we can post.

2012-01-04 15:39:31
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
71.137.110.252

Okay, I revised that section so that it's more robust, talking about the various possible reasons for the short-term surface warming slowdown, that we can't say for sure exactly what caused it, etc.  Only 1-2 sentences on FR11, plus the escalator graphic and a discussion of Kaufmann.

2012-01-04 19:15:42
Tom Curtis

t.r.curtis@gmail...
112.213.145.36

Much more robust.