2011-10-29 21:53:14Extreme Events Increase With Global Warming
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.41.251

Post is here. The Rahmstorf & Coumou paper. I'll re-check it in the morning, as I'm not sure I have everything right. It's long-winded, but I don't know how to explain the statistics without making it so.

2011-10-30 03:54:26
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
69.230.101.55

Looks good Rob.  If you also put together a plain English version of this post, I bet TreeHugger would publish it.  Communicating to the general public about extreme weather is pretty important.

2011-10-30 09:05:13
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.34.52

Cheers bro. It dawned on me that a simplified version would be necessary. Will have a look at Treehugger to suss out their preferred format. I have an analogy that should work.   

2011-10-31 20:29:03
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.254.143

Dana, go ahead a run all the BEST posts first. That's topical and time sensitive and this isn't. I'm going to give this a little bit of a re-write to make it clearer anyway.

2011-11-01 03:28:18Global warming actually may result in fewer weather extremes
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.98.161

You may have a denier meme to rebute. Click here to access article by Tom Harris, Executive Director of the International Climate Science Coalition in Ottawa. This article was posted on AGWeek on Oct 31.

2011-11-01 03:36:01
thingsbreak

things.break@gmail...
66.7.151.194

Global warming can be thought of as having a deterministic component (the slowly warming climate) and a random part (weather).

 

I would rephrease this. It sounds like you're saying global warming causes weather. Maybe something more like "the climate's behavior in response to global warming can be thought..."

2011-11-01 03:59:02TILT!
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.98.161

Given that the article is solely focused on the connection between climate change and a single weather event, the title is misleading.

An introductory paragraph that tells the reader what the article is all about is also needed.

2011-11-01 04:05:37
thingsbreak

things.break@gmail...
66.7.151.194

John Hartz,

 

The title of Rob's post "Extreme Events To Increase With Global Warming" is pretty much identical to the title of the PNAS paper "Increase of extreme events in a warming world" he's writing about.

 

And the paper goes beyond the single event, indeed it initially started out as a general thought experiment applicable to many events. It then uses the Russian 2010 event as a proof of concept.

2011-11-01 04:41:18thingsbreak
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.98.161

I reached the same conclusion after re-reading the article.

I do, however, continue to recommend that new introductory paragraph is needed. 

2011-11-01 07:07:41
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.93.126.44

John, the article is being re-written, one of the reasons was to make the issue a lot clearer, because this analysis can be applied to other climate phenomena which exhibit a similar behavior.

Thingsbreak - was aiming to re-write that part. Don't think it's very accessible to a general audience (like a couple of other segments). 

2011-11-05 10:22:07
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
64.129.227.4

Still working on this Rob?  No rush, just want to make sure I'm not holding it up by ignoring it.

2011-11-05 11:12:32
Rob Painting
Rob
paintingskeri@vodafone.co...
118.92.254.129

Both of them are finished. They can stay in the queue until all the furore over BEST settles down. No drama.