2011-03-16 04:56:12Nuclear testing caused mid-twentieth century cooling
Daniel Bailey
Daniel Bailey
yooper49855@hotmail...
97.83.150.37

Has anyone started a blog post on this?

(Author copy available here)

 

If not, I'd be interested in doing one.


The role of atmospheric nuclear explosions on the stagnation of global warming in the mid 20th century

Yoshiaki Fujii

Abstract

This study suggests that the cause of the stagnation in global warming in the mid 20th century was the atmospheric nuclear explosions detonated between 1945 and 1980. The estimated GST drop due to fine dust from the actual atmospheric nuclear explosions based on the published simulation results by other researchers (a single column model and Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model) has served to explain the stagnation in global warming. Atmospheric nuclear explosions can be regarded as full-scale in situ tests for nuclear winter. The non-negligible amount of GST drop from the actual atmospheric explosions suggests that nuclear winter is not just a theory but has actually occurred, albeit on a small scale. The accuracy of the simulations of GST by IPCC would also be improved significantly by introducing the influence of fine dust from the actual atmospheric nuclear explosions into their climate models; thus, global warming behavior could be more accurately predicted.

Research highlights

► Atmospheric nuclear explosions induced the stagnation in global warming in the mid 20th century. ► Atmospheric nuclear explosions can be regarded as full-scale in situ tests for nuclear winter. ► Global warming will be better predicted by considering atmospheric nuclear explosions' effects.

2011-03-16 06:38:54
Ari Jokimäki

arijmaki@yahoo...
91.154.107.62

I did a Finnish news article on this a while back. It is an interesting subject but in my opinion this article by Fujii is not very good. There's some very shaky reasoning and even hand-waving type of argumentation on some alternative hypothesis. However, it might be that Fujii just has trouble with expressing him/herself in English.

2011-03-16 07:08:35
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
84.151.46.86

I haven't read this article. However, I remember that the whole nuclear winter discussion was very exciting for awhile, and then died out when more careful studies showed that the effect was not going to be as big as had been first estimated. I wonder if this paper has properly looked at the earlier studies.