2011-02-26 17:29:03Climate Sensitivity: The Skeptic End Game
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
69.230.107.233

I drafted up a blog post on Climate Sensitivity: The Skeptic End Game.  The concept behind it is that if climate sensitivity isn't low, the "skeptics" are really out of luck.  With all the distractions from hockey sticks and Climategate and whatnot, it's easy to lose sight of the fact that ultimately "skepticism" is fundamentally tied to low climate sensitivity.  Have a look, let me know if you have any feedback.

2011-02-26 18:26:37
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
91.33.106.193

"Yet unless every line of evidence using numerous lines of empirical data and estimates from climate models are all biased high, there is less than a 5% chance the "skeptics" are right on this critical issue."

 

I would put the empirical data in the 2nd, more important position: the intended audience will probably place more confidence in that.

2011-02-26 21:49:32
MarkR
Mark Richardson
m.t.richardson2@gmail...
89.242.39.132

Perhaps 'the climate endgame'. Since that's what it is!

 

This is aimed very heavily at skeptics - the first few paragraphs might turn off some of the audience IMO.

2011-02-27 01:37:20Achilles' Heel?
John Hartz
John Hartz
john.hartz@hotmail...
98.122.68.19
Perhaps the "Skeptics' Achilles Heel" would work better?
2011-02-27 04:02:40
dana1981
Dana Nuccitelli
dana1981@yahoo...
69.230.107.233

neal - is the second position more important?  I always thought the more important one went first!

Climate Endgame would work too.  But like you say Mark, it's directed pretty heavily at skeptics.

Badger - Achilles was a badass with one weak spot.  That's certainly not an accurate description of skeptics :-)

2011-02-27 07:14:47
nealjking

nealjking@gmail...
91.33.106.193

dana,

If the first argument is sufficient, it's not even necessary to mention a second. Imagine talking through the argument with someone. Example:

"How can you claim my dog ate your apple pie yesterday? He doesn't like apple pie; and besides, he's been dead since last month."

vs.

"How can you claim my dog ate your apple pie yesterday? He's been dead since last month; and besides, he doesn't like apple pie."

Only in a Woody Allen movie would the second version be acceptable.